Trendline Labs
MLB
Moneyline

MLB Moneyline System Records

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Every tracked MLB moneyline betting system. Verified W-L, ROI, and CLV across 76402 graded picks.

Trendline Labs tracks 69 MLB moneyline betting systems with a combined 49334-27068 record (64.57% hit rate) across 76402 graded picks.

Top MLB Moneyline Systems by ROI

SystemRecordHit RateROI
Elite Favorites With Steady Bats123-1787.86%+67.73%
Home Teams with Steady Offense178-3085.58%+63.37%
Home Favorites with Steady Offense123-2483.67%+59.74%
Home Favorites with Stable Offense136-2882.93%+58.31%
Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps394-10479.12%+51.04%
Home Favorites Close to Market240-6478.95%+50.72%
Strikeout Teams vs Close Elo48-1378.69%+50.22%
Home Favorites with Patient Offense378-11177.30%+47.57%
Home Teams with Strike Dominance385-11676.85%+46.71%
Home Favorites with Plate Discipline251-7676.76%+46.54%
Home Dogs with Elo Value274-9374.66%+42.53%
Home Standouts with Field Edge81-3072.97%+39.31%
Home Favorites After Early Season1122-43172.25%+37.93%
Moderate Bats with Weak Pitching38-1571.70%+36.88%
Teams vs Weak Elo Opponents228-9071.70%+36.88%
Home Teams with Elite Strikes1742-75169.88%+33.40%
Home Teams With H2H Balance1361-59369.65%+32.97%
Home vs Weak Elo Opponents1063-46469.61%+32.90%
Elite Elo with Tight Margins486-21569.33%+32.36%
Favorites with Elite Elo Edge940-41869.22%+32.15%
Home Teams with Plate Discipline1450-64769.15%+32.01%
Favorites with Fading Momentum47-2169.12%+31.95%
Home Teams with Volatile Offense1415-63369.09%+31.90%
Team vs Weak Opponents266-12368.38%+30.54%
Home Teams with Patient Bats1323-61268.37%+30.53%
Home Teams with Strike Dominance1358-63468.17%+30.15%
Elo Value with Pro-Home Umps483-22668.12%+30.06%
Teams with Winning Home Umps1349-64667.62%+29.09%
Away Dogs vs Mid-Tier Opponents in Home-Biased Umpire Games766-37467.19%+28.28%
Home Elo Edge with Low-Home Umps86-4267.19%+28.27%
Strikeout Aces vs Weak Opponents677-33666.83%+27.59%
Elite Road Teams Mid-Season220-11166.47%+26.89%
Home Teams with Balanced Umps601-30766.19%+26.36%
Away Teams with Weak Home Splits434-22465.96%+25.92%
Road Teams vs Weak Home Clubs434-22465.96%+25.92%
Home Teams with Elite Elo Index83-4365.87%+25.76%
Home Teams with Elite Elo Index83-4365.87%+25.76%
Home Favorites vs H2H Rivals746-39565.38%+24.82%
Elite Elo Teams After 20+ Games1514-82064.87%+23.84%
Elite Teams with High Variance1174-64564.54%+23.21%
Favorites with Inefficient Pitching1159-63764.53%+23.20%
Home Favorites with Fly Ball Risk904-49764.53%+23.18%
Elite Teams Mid-Season+1544-85164.47%+23.07%
Low-Steal Teams in Even Matchups29-1664.44%+23.03%
Early Season vs Tired Opponents94-5264.38%+22.91%
Elo Favorites Early Season32-1864.00%+22.18%
Home Teams with Balanced Umps1153-65363.84%+21.88%
Team vs Mid-Tier Elo Opponents56-3263.64%+21.49%
Underdogs with Resting Starters77-4463.64%+21.49%
Home Teams with Low Elo, Strong Record907-51963.60%+21.43%
Moderate Favorites with XBH Power90-5362.94%+20.15%
Elo Favorites with Strike Volume3427-215061.45%+17.31%
Elite Elo Over Market Value418-26461.29%+17.01%
Home Favorites with High Pitch Counts2193-138761.26%+16.95%
Strikeout Teams vs Weak Elo855-54161.25%+16.92%
Elo Leaders with Strike Volume2798-177161.24%+16.91%
Favorites with Elite Strike Volume662-42760.79%+16.05%
Home Favorites After Early Season681-44860.32%+15.15%
Home vs Weak Elo Opponents1091-71960.28%+15.07%
Early Season Underperformers Against New Teams61-4159.80%+14.17%
Home Dogs vs Strong Opponents178-12059.73%+14.03%
Hot Bats vs Weak Elo Teams2193-149359.50%+13.58%
Low-Elo Teams vs Weak Opponents820-57058.99%+12.62%
Favorites vs Weak Elo Teams1314-94458.19%+11.10%
Elo Favorites with Low Variance158-11557.88%+10.49%
Home Teams with Efficient Plate Discipline311-22957.59%+9.95%
Home Teams with Low Strike Pitching270-20157.32%+9.44%
Home Favorites vs H2H Rivals973-81454.45%+3.95%
Underdogs vs Strong Opposition786-67353.87%+2.85%

TRACKED SYSTEMS

69

COMBINED RECORD

49334-27068

HIT RATE

64.57%

AVG ROI

+28.05%

How We Track MLB Moneyline Systems

Each system in this cluster is an ML-discovered betting rule tested against historical MLB games. Systems earn a spot when they show a statistically meaningful edge over the closing line. The combined 49334-27068 record across 69 systems represents a profitable long-term result — every pick is graded against the closing line, so CLV and ROI reflect bet-able reality, not back-tested fantasy.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many MLB Moneyline betting systems are tracked?

Trendline currently tracks 69 MLB Moneyline systems with a combined 49334-27068 record (64.57% hit rate) across 76402 graded picks. Each system is an ML-discovered rule tested against historical games and live-tracked going forward.

Which MLB Moneyline system has the highest ROI?

"Elite Favorites With Steady Bats" currently leads all tracked MLB Moneyline systems at +67.73% ROI on a 123-17 record. ROI reflects performance against the closing line at $100 flat stakes — not a back-tested figure.

How do MLB Moneyline systems get graded against the closing line?

Every qualifying pick is settled against the sharpest closing price. Closing line value (CLV) measures whether the pick's original number beat the market's final number. Consistent positive CLV over 50+ picks is the single strongest indicator of long-term profitability.

What sample size is meaningful for a MLB Moneyline betting system?

15-20 picks is the floor for statistical signal, and 50+ picks is where a real edge typically separates from variance. Short-sample systems can look exceptional or terrible purely by luck — sample size matters more than any one headline number.

See Also in MLB

System records generated from proprietary ML analysis. Every record is graded against actual closing lines.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

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MLB Moneyline System Records | Trendline Labs