Favorites with Elite Elo Edge
Backs moneyline favorites with an Elo rating advantage exceeding 95.905 points over their opponent, where the team's Elo rating is within 0.0697 points of the market-implied rating or rated lower than what the market suggests.
Part of all MLB Moneyline system records.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
940
1358
418
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks | away | L | -0.01 | -$1.00 |
| May 24, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers | away | W | -0.01 | +$0.56 |
| May 23, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers | away | W | -0.05 | +$0.89 |
| May 22, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers | away | L | +0.03 | -$1.00 |
| May 21, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres | away | W | +0.07 | +$0.54 |
| May 20, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres | away | W | +0.05 | +$0.61 |
| May 19, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres | away | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 17, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.72 |
| May 17, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.77 |
| May 16, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.55 |
| May 15, '26 | San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | W | +0.04 | +$0.59 |
| May 14, '26 | San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | W | +0.03 | +$0.41 |
| May 13, '26 | San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | L | +0.03 | -$1.00 |
| May 12, '26 | San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | L | +0.04 | -$1.00 |
| May 10, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | L | +0.04 | -$1.00 |
| May 10, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | L | -0.01 | -$1.00 |
| May 9, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | W | +0.05 | +$0.99 |
| May 6, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros | away | W | -0.02 | +$0.47 |
| May 6, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros | away | L | +0.02 | -$1.00 |
| May 5, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros | away | W | -0.01 | +$0.51 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$207.50 across 50 picks.
Related MLB Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites With Steady Bats
123-17 record · 87.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Steady Offense
178-30 record · 85.6% hit rate
Home Favorites with Steady Offense
123-24 record · 83.7% hit rate
Home Favorites with Stable Offense
136-28 record · 82.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps
394-104 record · 79.1% hit rate
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Elo Diff
Elo Diff
Elo Diff
Elo Vs Market
Picks by Month
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Favorites with Elite Elo Edge" MLB Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 940-418 (69.22% hit rate) with 32.15% ROI across 1358 graded picks. Closing line value averages 7.62, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Favorites with Elite Elo Edge system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Favorites with Elite Elo Edge system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 2716 total qualifying games, with 1358 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
TOTAL PICKS
2716
HIT RATE
69.22%
RECORD
940-418
ROI
+32.15%