Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps
Backs home teams whose pitching staff has averaged more than 72.7 strikes per game over their last 5 games, whose home Elo rating exceeds both specified thresholds, and whose assigned umpire has a home team winning percentage above 56.39%.
Part of all MLB Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
1081
HIT RATE
79.12%
RECORD
394-104
ROI
+51.04%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Pitch Strikes
Home Team Elo Rating
Home team's Elo rating is above 5.735. Higher Elo = stronger team per the model.
Home Team Elo Rating
Home team's Elo rating is above 121.62. Higher Elo = stronger team per the model.
Referee Home Win %
Crew has a historical home-team win rate above 56%.
Related MLB Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites With Steady Bats
123-17 record · 87.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Steady Offense
178-30 record · 85.6% hit rate
Home Favorites with Steady Offense
123-24 record · 83.7% hit rate
Home Favorites with Stable Offense
136-28 record · 82.9% hit rate
Home Favorites Close to Market
240-64 record · 79.0% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps" MLB Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 394-104 (79.12% hit rate) with 51.04% ROI across 498 graded picks. Closing line value averages 2.22, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1081 total qualifying games, with 498 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
394
498
104
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES