Elite Teams Mid-Season+
Backs teams with an Elo rating advantage of more than 130 points over their opponent in games played after the first month of the season. The strong Elo differential identifies significant skill mismatches later in the year.
Part of all MLB Moneyline system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Elo Diff
Elo Diff
Season Games
TOTAL PICKS
5196
HIT RATE
64.47%
RECORD
1544-851
ROI
+23.07%
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, '26 | New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | W | +0.03 | +$0.62 |
| Apr 13, '26 | Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves | home | L | +0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Cleveland Guardians @ Atlanta Braves | home | W | +0.01 | +$0.55 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | L | -0.43 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | W | -0.02 | +$0.57 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Cleveland Guardians @ Atlanta Braves | home | L | -0.08 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Dodgers | home | W | +0.04 | +$0.46 |
| Apr 10, '26 | Cleveland Guardians @ Atlanta Braves | home | W | +0.03 | +$0.74 |
| Apr 8, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Angels | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.83 |
| Apr 8, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays | away | L | +0.02 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 8, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Angels | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.81 |
| Apr 7, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays | away | W | +0.04 | +$0.70 |
| Apr 7, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Angels | away | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 6, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays | away | W | — | +$0.82 |
| Apr 5, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.60 |
| Apr 5, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Arizona Diamondbacks | away | L | -0.19 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 4, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Arizona Diamondbacks | away | L | +0.02 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 4, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals | away | W | +0.03 | +$0.39 |
| Apr 4, '26 | Atlanta Braves @ Arizona Diamondbacks | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.94 |
| Apr 3, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals | away | W | — | +$0.91 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: +$72.90 across 27 picks.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
1544
2395
851
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Picks by Month
Related MLB Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites With Steady Bats
123-17 record · 87.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Steady Offense
178-30 record · 85.6% hit rate
Home Favorites with Steady Offense
123-24 record · 83.7% hit rate
Home Favorites with Stable Offense
136-28 record · 82.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps
394-104 record · 79.1% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Elite Teams Mid-Season+" MLB Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 1544-851 (64.47% hit rate) with 23.07% ROI across 2395 graded picks. Closing line value averages 1.19, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Elite Teams Mid-Season+ system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Elite Teams Mid-Season+ system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 5196 total qualifying games, with 2395 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.