Elo Favorites with Strike Volume
Backs teams with an Elo rating at least 79 points higher than their opponent and whose pitching staff has averaged more than 78.7 strikes per game over their last 5 games.
Part of all MLB Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
12168
HIT RATE
61.45%
RECORD
3427-2150
ROI
+17.31%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Pitch Strikes
Elo Diff
Elo Diff
Related MLB Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites With Steady Bats
123-17 record · 87.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Steady Offense
178-30 record · 85.6% hit rate
Home Favorites with Steady Offense
123-24 record · 83.7% hit rate
Home Favorites with Stable Offense
136-28 record · 82.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps
394-104 record · 79.1% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Elo Favorites with Strike Volume" MLB Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 3427-2150 (61.45% hit rate) with 17.31% ROI across 5577 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.11, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Elo Favorites with Strike Volume system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Elo Favorites with Strike Volume system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 12168 total qualifying games, with 5577 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
3427
5577
2150
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES