Trendline Labs
NHL
Moneyline

NHL Moneyline System Records

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Every tracked NHL moneyline betting system. Verified W-L, ROI, and CLV across 5881 graded picks.

Trendline Labs tracks 47 NHL moneyline betting systems with a combined 4542-1339 record (77.23% hit rate) across 5881 graded picks.

TRACKED SYSTEMS

47

COMBINED RECORD

4542-1339

HIT RATE

77.23%

AVG ROI

+50.49%

Top NHL Moneyline Systems by ROI

SystemRecordHit RateROI
Elo Favorites with Score Variance72-593.51%+78.51%
Home Elo Favorites in Low-Scoring51-492.73%+77.02%
Elite Elo Favorites at Home47-492.16%+75.94%
Home Favorites with Elo Edge55-591.67%+75.00%
Rested Takeaway Machines vs Careless Offenses28-390.32%+72.43%
Elite Favorites with Ball Security49-689.09%+70.08%
Elo Favorites with Low Giveaways49-689.09%+70.08%
Home Teams With Elite Home Edge73-989.02%+69.96%
Home Teams with Elite Ref Edges73-989.02%+69.96%
Elo Favorites with Missed Shots53-788.33%+68.64%
Home Favorites with Recent OT Losses81-1188.04%+68.08%
Home Favorites with Recent OT Losses81-1188.04%+68.08%
Disciplined Teams vs Shaky Goalies58-887.88%+67.77%
Home Favorites vs Shaky Goalies92-1387.62%+67.27%
Home Teams vs Shaky Goalies92-1387.62%+67.27%
Home Chalk with Elite PK52-886.67%+65.45%
Strong Favorites vs Stingy Defenses81-1386.17%+64.51%
Rested Favorites with Scoring Focus67-1284.81%+61.91%
Home Dogs with Balanced Refs61-1283.56%+59.53%
Home Teams with Weak PK Depth65-1581.25%+55.11%
Evenly Matched in Low-Scoring Games33-880.49%+53.66%
Elo Favorites with Shot Momentum64-1680.00%+52.73%
Favorites vs Steady Goalies63-1778.75%+50.34%
Road Dogs with Home-Biased Refs43-1278.18%+49.26%
Home Teams with Pro-Home Refs302-8677.84%+48.59%
Road Dogs in Home-Biased Ref Games42-1277.78%+48.48%
Home Elo Edge in High-Scoring Ref Games44-1377.19%+47.37%
Elite Home Teams with Ref Edge425-12776.99%+46.99%
Home Favorites in Neutral Ref Games54-1776.06%+45.20%
Home Favorites with Pro-Home Refs696-23774.60%+42.41%
Home Teams with Ref Home Edge696-23774.60%+42.41%
Elo Favorites vs Steady Goalies80-2874.07%+41.41%
Teams with Weak Penalty Kills47-1872.31%+38.04%
Struggling Teams with Shaky PK41-1671.93%+37.32%
Home Teams with Inconsistent PKs37-1571.15%+35.84%
Underdogs vs Elite Elo32-1469.57%+32.81%
Outshot Streaks After Narrow Wins34-1569.39%+32.47%
Favorites vs Leaky Defense92-4169.17%+32.06%
Underdogs with Low Takeaways37-1768.52%+30.81%
Favorites vs Stingy Defenses53-2567.95%+29.72%
Penalty-Prone vs Shaky Goalies41-2067.21%+28.32%
Team vs Shaky Goalie on Rest40-2066.67%+27.27%
Teams with Concentrated Scoring55-2965.48%+25.00%
Elo Favorites with Shot Discipline35-1964.81%+23.74%
Elo Underdogs with High Misses41-2463.08%+20.42%
Rested Dogs vs Prop-Cold Opponents64-3862.75%+19.79%
Home in Neutral Ref Games71-4461.74%+17.87%

How We Track NHL Moneyline Systems

Each system in this cluster is an ML-discovered betting rule tested against historical NHL games. Systems earn a spot when they show a statistically meaningful edge over the closing line. The combined 4542-1339 record across 47 systems represents a profitable long-term result — every pick is graded against the closing line, so CLV and ROI reflect bet-able reality, not back-tested fantasy.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many NHL Moneyline betting systems are tracked?

Trendline currently tracks 47 NHL Moneyline systems with a combined 4542-1339 record (77.23% hit rate) across 5881 graded picks. Each system is an ML-discovered rule tested against historical games and live-tracked going forward.

Which NHL Moneyline system has the highest ROI?

"Elo Favorites with Score Variance" currently leads all tracked NHL Moneyline systems at +78.51% ROI on a 72-5 record. ROI reflects performance against the closing line at $100 flat stakes — not a back-tested figure.

How do NHL Moneyline systems get graded against the closing line?

Every qualifying pick is settled against the sharpest closing price. Closing line value (CLV) measures whether the pick's original number beat the market's final number. Consistent positive CLV over 50+ picks is the single strongest indicator of long-term profitability.

What sample size is meaningful for a NHL Moneyline betting system?

15-20 picks is the floor for statistical signal, and 50+ picks is where a real edge typically separates from variance. Short-sample systems can look exceptional or terrible purely by luck — sample size matters more than any one headline number.

See Also in NHL

System records generated from proprietary ML analysis. Every record is graded against actual closing lines.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

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NHL Moneyline System Records | Trendline Labs