Home Teams with Weak PK Depth
Backs home teams with strong historical home Elo ratings but declining penalty kill performance in recent games and high shot volume that misses the net, indicating inefficiency paired with underlying strength.
Part of all NHL Moneyline system records.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
65
80
15
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
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When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Def Penaltykillpct
Avg 10 Off Shotsmissed
Avg 5 Def Penaltykillpct
Home Team Elo Rating
Home team's Elo rating is above 3.445. Higher Elo = stronger team per the model.
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Home Teams with Weak PK Depth" NHL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 65-15 (81.25% hit rate) with 55.11% ROI across 80 graded picks. Closing line value averages 10.30, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Home Teams with Weak PK Depth system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Home Teams with Weak PK Depth system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 160 total qualifying games, with 80 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
TOTAL PICKS
160
HIT RATE
81.25%
RECORD
65-15
ROI
+55.11%