Rested Favorites with Scoring Focus
Backs favorites with an Elo rating advantage exceeding 70 points, who exhibited a narrow range of scoring concentration (Gini coefficient between 0.85-0.87) across their previous 5 games, and hold a rest advantage relative to league-typical scheduling patterns.
Part of all NHL Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
152
HIT RATE
84.81%
RECORD
67-12
ROI
+61.91%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Elo Diff
Pavg 5 Score Gini
Pavg 5 Score Gini
Prob Rest Ix
Related NHL Moneyline Systems
Elo Favorites with Score Variance
72-5 record · 93.5% hit rate
Home Elo Favorites in Low-Scoring
51-4 record · 92.7% hit rate
Elite Elo Favorites at Home
47-4 record · 92.2% hit rate
Home Favorites with Elo Edge
55-5 record · 91.7% hit rate
Rested Takeaway Machines vs Careless Offenses
28-3 record · 90.3% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Rested Favorites with Scoring Focus" NHL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 67-12 (84.81% hit rate) with 61.91% ROI across 79 graded picks. Closing line value averages 18.16, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Rested Favorites with Scoring Focus system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Rested Favorites with Scoring Focus system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 152 total qualifying games, with 79 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
67
79
12
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES