Trendline Labs

Penalty-Prone vs Shaky Goalies

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Backs teams with moderate penalty kill efficiency (76.7-79.9%) and high penalty minutes (10+ per game) over their last 10 games when facing opponents whose goaltender has shown inconsistent even-strength save performance over their last 5 games.

Part of all NHL Moneyline system records.

Penalty-Prone vs Shaky Goalies is a verified NHL moneyline betting system that backs teams with moderate penalty kill efficiency (76.7-79.9%) and high penalty minutes (10+ per game) over their last 10 games when facing opponents whose goaltender has shown inconsistent even-strength save performance over their last 5 games. Tracked across 61 graded picks, it holds a 41-20 record with a 67.21% hit rate and 28.32% ROI. Average closing line value: 7.0455 units. All results graded from verified game outcomes.

When This System Fires

The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.

1

Avg 10 Def Penaltykillpct

at most 79.86avg_10_def_penaltykillpct
2

Avg 10 Def Penaltykillpct

above 76.67avg_10_def_penaltykillpct
3

Avg 10 Penalties Penaltyminutes

above 10.45avg_10_penalties_penaltyminutes
4

Opp Pavg 5 P Evenstrengthsaves Std

above 5.45opp_pavg_5_p_evenstrengthsaves_std

TOTAL PICKS

120

HIT RATE

67.21%

RECORD

41-20

ROI

+28.32%

PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN

41

61

20

WINS

TOTAL BETS

LOSSES

Related NHL Moneyline Systems

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the "Penalty-Prone vs Shaky Goalies" NHL Moneyline system still work?

The system's live record is 41-20 (67.21% hit rate) with 28.32% ROI across 61 graded picks. Closing line value averages 7.05, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.

When does the Penalty-Prone vs Shaky Goalies system fire a pick?

The system triggers a NHL moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.

What is the sample size for the Penalty-Prone vs Shaky Goalies system?

The system has been evaluated against 120 total qualifying games, with 61 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.

Analysis generated by Optimus AI from proprietary ML system data.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Optimus

Matchups

Systems

Titan

Penalty-Prone vs Shaky Goalies: 41-20 Record | NHL ML