Outshot Streaks After Narrow Wins
Backs teams that have been consistently outshot over their last 10 games (averaging -1.55 or worse shot differential), won their last 3 games by a combined margin of 1.5 goals or fewer, hold a lower home Elo rating, and show high variation in power play goals allowed on defense.
Part of all NHL Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
101
HIT RATE
69.39%
RECORD
34-15
ROI
+32.47%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
34
49
15
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Gen Shotdifferential
Combined Margin Last 3
Home Team Elo Rating
Home team's Elo rating is below 3.445. Higher Elo = stronger team per the model.
Std 10 Def Powerplaygoalsagainst
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Home Favorites with Elo Edge
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Outshot Streaks After Narrow Wins" NHL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 34-15 (69.39% hit rate) with 32.47% ROI across 49 graded picks. Closing line value averages -35.86, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Outshot Streaks After Narrow Wins system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Outshot Streaks After Narrow Wins system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 101 total qualifying games, with 49 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.