Over in Late-Season Kicker Slumps
Targets the over in late-season games (13+ games played) involving teams with reduced extra point kicking accuracy over their last three games and low recent momentum, indicating potential scoring volatility or defensive fatigue.
Part of all NFL Over/Under system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Kick Extrapointpct
Ewma Momentum
Season Games
TOTAL PICKS
821
HIT RATE
56.93%
RECORD
193-146
ROI
+8.69%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
193
339
146
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related NFL Over/Under Systems
Over Late-Season Secure Momentum
61-30 record · 67.0% hit rate
Under Late-Season Defensive Teams
37-19 record · 66.1% hit rate
Over vs Elite Recent Defenses
112-65 record · 63.3% hit rate
Team Over After Blowouts
51-30 record · 63.0% hit rate
Late Season Over vs Stingy Defenses
110-67 record · 62.1% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Over in Late-Season Kicker Slumps" NFL Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 193-146 (56.93% hit rate) with 8.69% ROI across 339 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.60, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Over in Late-Season Kicker Slumps system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Over in Late-Season Kicker Slumps system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 821 total qualifying games, with 339 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.