Under Late-Season Defensive Teams
Targets the under in games involving teams that have allowed 20 points or fewer per game over their last five contests, playing in week 14 or later on standard rest of six days or less.
Part of all NFL Over/Under system records.
TOTAL PICKS
145
HIT RATE
66.07%
RECORD
37-19
ROI
+26.14%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Pts Allowed
Game Number In Season
Rest Days
Team has had at most 6.1441 days of rest.
Related NFL Over/Under Systems
Over Late-Season Secure Momentum
61-30 record · 67.0% hit rate
Over vs Elite Recent Defenses
112-65 record · 63.3% hit rate
Team Over After Blowouts
51-30 record · 63.0% hit rate
Late Season Over vs Stingy Defenses
110-67 record · 62.1% hit rate
Over Late-Season Momentum
71-45 record · 61.2% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Under Late-Season Defensive Teams" NFL Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 37-19 (66.07% hit rate) with 26.14% ROI across 56 graded picks. Closing line value averages 1.57, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Under Late-Season Defensive Teams system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Under Late-Season Defensive Teams system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 145 total qualifying games, with 56 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
37
56
19
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES