Underdogs with Low Shot Blocking
Backs underdogs with implied win probability at or below 37% that have averaged fewer than 0.82 blocked shots per game over their last 10 games, identifying teams with both low expectations and minimal recent shot-blocking activity.
Part of all NHL ATS system records.
TOTAL PICKS
638
HIT RATE
59.24%
RECORD
186-128
ROI
+13.09%
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, '26 | Winnipeg Jets @ Vegas Golden Knights | away | L | +3.00 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 3, '26 | Winnipeg Jets @ Dallas Stars | away | L | +3.00 | -$1.00 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$100.00 across 2 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Implied Win Probability
Market implies the team wins less than 37% of the time.
Market Role
Team is the underdog.
Pavg 10 P Blockedshots Mean
Picks by Month
Related NHL ATS Systems
Underdog Puckline vs Low-Scoring Foes
74-35 record · 67.9% hit rate
Puckline vs Volatile Defense
66-36 record · 64.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Hot Shot Metrics
148-82 record · 64.3% hit rate
Puckline vs Volatile Defense
170-100 record · 63.0% hit rate
Underdogs with Moderate Blocking
119-70 record · 63.0% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Underdogs with Low Shot Blocking" NHL ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 186-128 (59.24% hit rate) with 13.09% ROI across 314 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.00, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Underdogs with Low Shot Blocking system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Underdogs with Low Shot Blocking system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 638 total qualifying games, with 314 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
186
314
128
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES