Over in Hot Goalie Games
Backs overs in games where the team has strong upward Elo momentum, excellent even-strength goaltending over their last 10 games (above 95.82% save rate), and faces a high expected scoring environment with total goals lines above 6.1.
Part of all NHL Over/Under system records.
TOTAL PICKS
2884
HIT RATE
54.50%
RECORD
618-516
ROI
+4.04%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
618
1134
516
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, '26 | Vegas Golden Knights @ Anaheim Ducks | over | L | -0.05 | -$1.00 |
| May 13, '26 | Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights | over | L | -0.05 | -$1.00 |
| May 11, '26 | Vegas Golden Knights @ Anaheim Ducks | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| May 9, '26 | Vegas Golden Knights @ Anaheim Ducks | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| May 7, '26 | Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 5, '26 | Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 1, '26 | Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks | over | P | -0.18 | $0.00 |
| Apr 29, '26 | Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 27, '26 | Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks | over | P | +0.45 | $0.00 |
| Apr 25, '26 | Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 23, '26 | Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers | over | W | +0.14 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 21, '26 | Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 17, '26 | Los Angeles Kings @ Calgary Flames | over | L | +0.14 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 17, '26 | Vancouver Canucks @ Edmonton Oilers | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 17, '26 | Anaheim Ducks @ Nashville Predators | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 17, '26 | San Jose Sharks @ Winnipeg Jets | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 16, '26 | San Jose Sharks @ Chicago Blackhawks | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 16, '26 | San Jose Sharks @ Chicago Blackhawks | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 14, '26 | San Jose Sharks @ Nashville Predators | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 14, '26 | Buffalo Sabres @ Chicago Blackhawks | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: +$654.60 across 50 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Elo Momentum Ix
Pavg 10 P Evenstrengthsaves Mean
Ref Avg Total
Picks by Month
Related NHL Over/Under Systems
Overs with Penalty-Heavy Refs
89-46 record · 65.9% hit rate
Team Over in High-Save Games
99-53 record · 65.1% hit rate
High-Scoring Team Overs
120-65 record · 64.9% hit rate
Over in Moderate Defensive Variance
66-36 record · 64.7% hit rate
Over in High-Scoring Inconsistent D
63-35 record · 64.3% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Over in Hot Goalie Games" NHL Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 618-516 (54.50% hit rate) with 4.04% ROI across 1134 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.00, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Over in Hot Goalie Games system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Over in Hot Goalie Games system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 2884 total qualifying games, with 1134 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.