Over in High-Scoring Matchups
Targets overs in games where the team has accumulated at least five wins and the reference average total exceeds 6.34 goals, with limited public betting interest on the spread for that team.
Part of all NHL Over/Under system records.
TOTAL PICKS
5319
HIT RATE
58.35%
RECORD
929-663
ROI
+11.40%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
929
1592
663
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| May 12, '26 | Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| May 10, '26 | Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild | over | L | -0.05 | -$1.00 |
| May 6, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| May 4, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche | over | W | +0.09 | +$0.91 |
| May 2, '26 | Vegas Golden Knights @ Utah Mammoth | over | P | -0.32 | $0.00 |
| May 1, '26 | Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 30, '26 | Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 30, '26 | Utah Mammoth @ Vegas Golden Knights | over | W | -0.32 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 29, '26 | Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | L | +0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 28, '26 | Boston Bruins @ Buffalo Sabres | over | L | -0.18 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 29, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars | over | W | +0.05 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 28, '26 | Vegas Golden Knights @ Utah Mammoth | over | W | +0.14 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 27, '26 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 26, '26 | Colorado Avalanche @ Los Angeles Kings | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 26, '26 | Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins | over | W | -0.18 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 26, '26 | Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | P | -0.18 | $0.00 |
| Apr 25, '26 | Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild | over | L | -0.23 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 25, '26 | Vegas Golden Knights @ Utah Mammoth | over | P | -0.23 | $0.00 |
| Apr 24, '26 | Colorado Avalanche @ Los Angeles Kings | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: +$472.80 across 93 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Ref Avg Total
Season Wins
Spread Public Ix
Picks by Month
Related NHL Over/Under Systems
Overs with Penalty-Heavy Refs
89-46 record · 65.9% hit rate
Team Over in High-Save Games
99-53 record · 65.1% hit rate
High-Scoring Team Overs
120-65 record · 64.9% hit rate
Over in Moderate Defensive Variance
66-36 record · 64.7% hit rate
Over in High-Scoring Inconsistent D
63-35 record · 64.3% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Over in High-Scoring Matchups" NHL Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 929-663 (58.35% hit rate) with 11.40% ROI across 1592 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.01, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Over in High-Scoring Matchups system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Over in High-Scoring Matchups system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 5319 total qualifying games, with 1592 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.