Over in High-Scoring Matchups
Targets overs in games where the team has accumulated at least five wins and the reference average total exceeds 6.34 goals, with limited public betting interest on the spread for that team.
Part of all NHL Over/Under system records.
TOTAL PICKS
5319
HIT RATE
58.35%
RECORD
929-663
ROI
+11.40%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
929
1592
663
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, '26 | Buffalo Sabres @ Chicago Blackhawks | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 14, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ St. Louis Blues | over | W | -0.45 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 14, '26 | Los Angeles Kings @ Seattle Kraken | over | W | +0.18 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 13, '26 | Vancouver Canucks @ Anaheim Ducks | over | P | -0.05 | $0.00 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Ottawa Senators @ New Jersey Devils | over | W | +0.14 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Boston Bruins @ Columbus Blue Jackets | over | L | -0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Boston Bruins @ Columbus Blue Jackets | over | L | -0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Pittsburgh Penguins @ Washington Capitals | over | L | +0.18 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Vancouver Canucks @ San Jose Sharks | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Calgary Flames @ Seattle Kraken | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Columbus Blue Jackets @ Montreal Canadiens | over | W | +0.14 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 11, '26 | New Jersey Devils @ Detroit Red Wings | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 11, '26 | St. Louis Blues @ Chicago Blackhawks | over | W | -0.14 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Nashville Predators | over | L | +0.27 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Edmonton Oilers @ Los Angeles Kings | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Washington Capitals @ Pittsburgh Penguins | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ Boston Bruins | over | L | +0.14 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 10, '26 | Vancouver Canucks @ Los Angeles Kings | over | L | +0.14 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 10, '26 | Vancouver Canucks @ Los Angeles Kings | over | L | +0.14 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 10, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars | over | W | -0.14 | +$0.91 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: +$236.40 across 56 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Ref Avg Total
Season Wins
Spread Public Ix
Picks by Month
Related NHL Over/Under Systems
Overs with Penalty-Heavy Refs
89-46 record · 65.9% hit rate
Team Over in High-Save Games
99-53 record · 65.1% hit rate
High-Scoring Team Overs
120-65 record · 64.9% hit rate
Over in Moderate Defensive Variance
66-36 record · 64.7% hit rate
Over in High-Scoring Inconsistent D
63-35 record · 64.3% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Over in High-Scoring Matchups" NHL Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 929-663 (58.35% hit rate) with 11.40% ROI across 1592 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.01, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Over in High-Scoring Matchups system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Over in High-Scoring Matchups system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 5319 total qualifying games, with 1592 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.