Moderate Shot Volume Underdogs
Backs teams with consistent but moderate offensive shot output (25.65-25.95 shots per game over their last 10 games) paired with below-average recent scoring production (exponentially weighted moving average of 3.1444 points or lower).
Part of all NHL ATS system records.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
75
123
48
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related NHL ATS Systems
Underdog Puckline vs Low-Scoring Foes
74-35 record · 67.9% hit rate
Puckline vs Volatile Defense
66-36 record · 64.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Hot Shot Metrics
148-82 record · 64.3% hit rate
Puckline vs Volatile Defense
170-100 record · 63.0% hit rate
Underdogs with Moderate Blocking
119-70 record · 63.0% hit rate
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Off Shotstotal
Avg 10 Off Shotstotal
Ewma Pts Scored
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Moderate Shot Volume Underdogs" NHL ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 75-48 (60.98% hit rate) with 16.41% ROI across 123 graded picks. Closing line value averages -0.03, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Moderate Shot Volume Underdogs system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Moderate Shot Volume Underdogs system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 287 total qualifying games, with 123 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
TOTAL PICKS
287
HIT RATE
60.98%
RECORD
75-48
ROI
+16.41%