Heavy Favorites with 2nd Period Shots
Backs heavily favored teams (above 70% implied win probability) that have averaged more than 9.7 offensive shots in the second period over their last 5 games, identifying strong favorites with consistent recent second-period offensive pressure.
Part of all NHL ATS system records.
TOTAL PICKS
578
HIT RATE
60.30%
RECORD
161-106
ROI
+15.12%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
161
267
106
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, '26 | Colorado Avalanche @ Edmonton Oilers | away | L | -3.00 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 12, '26 | Vegas Golden Knights @ Colorado Avalanche | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 10, '26 | Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche | home | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 8, '26 | Colorado Avalanche @ St. Louis Blues | away | W | -3.00 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 6, '26 | St. Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 2, '26 | Vancouver Canucks @ Colorado Avalanche | home | L | +0.27 | -$1.00 |
| Mar 31, '26 | Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche | home | W | +0.18 | +$0.91 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$218.20 across 7 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Off Shotsin2ndperiod
Implied Win Probability
Market implies the team wins more than 51% of the time.
Implied Win Probability
Market implies the team wins more than 71% of the time.
Picks by Month
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Underdogs with Hot Shot Metrics
148-82 record · 64.3% hit rate
Puckline vs Volatile Defense
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Underdogs with Moderate Blocking
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Heavy Favorites with 2nd Period Shots" NHL ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 161-106 (60.30% hit rate) with 15.12% ROI across 267 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.00, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Heavy Favorites with 2nd Period Shots system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Heavy Favorites with 2nd Period Shots system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 578 total qualifying games, with 267 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.