Favorites with Weak Power Plays
Backs heavily favored NHL teams (implied win probability above 71.9%) that have been relatively ineffective on the power play recently (under 38.3% conversion rate over their last 10 games) while maintaining a high rate of blocked shots.
Part of all NHL ATS system records.
TOTAL PICKS
450
HIT RATE
57.75%
RECORD
123-90
ROI
+10.24%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Off Powerplaypct
Implied Win Probability
Market implies the team wins more than 72% of the time.
Pavg 10 P Blockedshots Mean
Related NHL ATS Systems
Underdog Puckline vs Low-Scoring Foes
74-35 record · 67.9% hit rate
Puckline vs Volatile Defense
66-36 record · 64.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Hot Shot Metrics
148-82 record · 64.3% hit rate
Puckline vs Volatile Defense
170-100 record · 63.0% hit rate
Underdogs with Moderate Blocking
119-70 record · 63.0% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Favorites with Weak Power Plays" NHL ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 123-90 (57.75% hit rate) with 10.24% ROI across 213 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.00, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Favorites with Weak Power Plays system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Favorites with Weak Power Plays system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 450 total qualifying games, with 213 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
123
213
90
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES