Winners With Leaky Defenses
Backs NFL teams that have won at least 2 of their last 3 games despite allowing elevated defensive point totals in both their recent 3-game and 5-game windows.
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
2678
HIT RATE
58.38%
RECORD
794-566
ROI
+11.46%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Def Pointsallowed
Avg 5 Pts Allowed
Last 3 Wins
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Winners With Leaky Defenses" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 794-566 (58.38% hit rate) with 11.46% ROI across 1360 graded picks. Closing line value averages 10.64, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Winners With Leaky Defenses system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Winners With Leaky Defenses system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 2678 total qualifying games, with 1360 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
794
1360
566
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES