Teams with Kicking Struggles
Backs teams whose kicking unit has converted 71.7% or fewer field goals over the last 3 games and whose offense has averaged 24.7 or fewer points over the last 5 games, but whose slow exponentially weighted moving average margin remains above -3.33, indicating competitive performance despite recent offensive and special teams inconsistency.
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
1413
HIT RATE
53.86%
RECORD
370-317
ROI
+2.82%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
370
687
317
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Kick Fieldgoalpct
Avg 5 Pts
Ewma Margin Slow
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Teams with Kicking Struggles" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 370-317 (53.86% hit rate) with 2.82% ROI across 687 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.92, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Teams with Kicking Struggles system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Teams with Kicking Struggles system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1413 total qualifying games, with 687 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.