Teams with Deep Field Goals
Backs teams whose kickers have averaged over 50 yards per made field goal in their last three games, with limited third down attempt points in miscellaneous stats, facing opponents they are competitive with or favored against by Elo rating.
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
876
HIT RATE
62.78%
RECORD
285-169
ROI
+19.84%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Kick Fieldgoalsmadeyards
Avg 3 Miscellaneous Thirddownattempts
Elo Diff
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Teams with Deep Field Goals" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 285-169 (62.78% hit rate) with 19.84% ROI across 454 graded picks. Closing line value averages 17.47, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Teams with Deep Field Goals system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Teams with Deep Field Goals system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 876 total qualifying games, with 454 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
285
454
169
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES