Strong Offenses After FG Woes
Backs teams with winning records and strong recent scoring output (above 19.6 points per game over their last five) that have experienced recent field goal struggles, kicking below 77% over their last three games.
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
1587
HIT RATE
63.92%
RECORD
512-289
ROI
+22.03%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
512
801
289
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Kick Fieldgoalpct
Avg 5 Pts
Season Win Pct
Related NFL Moneyline Systems
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63-4 record · 94.0% hit rate
Home Favorites with 82%+ Odds
105-9 record · 92.1% hit rate
Elo Edge With Scoring Variance
31-3 record · 91.2% hit rate
Elite QB vs Cold Offenses
75-8 record · 90.4% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Strong Offenses After FG Woes" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 512-289 (63.92% hit rate) with 22.03% ROI across 801 graded picks. Closing line value averages 14.66, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Strong Offenses After FG Woes system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Strong Offenses After FG Woes system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1587 total qualifying games, with 801 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.