Strong Favorites with Kicking Scoring
Backs favorites with a significant Elo advantage over 67 points who have averaged high kicking points across their last three games and shown volatile scoring patterns with high standard deviation over their last five games.
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Kick Totalkickingpoints
Elo Diff
Stddev 5 Pts
TOTAL PICKS
106
HIT RATE
96.08%
RECORD
49-2
ROI
+83.42%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
49
51
2
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related NFL Moneyline Systems
Favorites with Fair Catch Volume
83-4 record · 95.4% hit rate
Favorites with Elo & Short FGs
63-4 record · 94.0% hit rate
Home Favorites with 82%+ Odds
105-9 record · 92.1% hit rate
Elo Edge With Scoring Variance
31-3 record · 91.2% hit rate
Elite QB vs Cold Offenses
75-8 record · 90.4% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Strong Favorites with Kicking Scoring" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 49-2 (96.08% hit rate) with 83.42% ROI across 51 graded picks. Closing line value averages 113.40, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Strong Favorites with Kicking Scoring system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Strong Favorites with Kicking Scoring system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 106 total qualifying games, with 51 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.