Scoring Teams After Pass Slump
Backs teams that have averaged fewer than 14.8 passing first downs over their last 3 games but are scoring at a high rate (over 24.7 points per game) in their last 5 games, with a winning record on the season.
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Miscellaneous Firstdownspassing
Avg 5 Pts
Season Win Pct
TOTAL PICKS
1590
HIT RATE
63.39%
RECORD
523-302
ROI
+21.02%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
523
825
302
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Scoring Teams After Pass Slump" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 523-302 (63.39% hit rate) with 21.02% ROI across 825 graded picks. Closing line value averages 23.36, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Scoring Teams After Pass Slump system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Scoring Teams After Pass Slump system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1590 total qualifying games, with 825 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.