Team Totals Over with Foul Trouble
Backs the over on team totals when the team has averaged 32.7 or fewer assists over their last 5 games, faces relatively favored over odds, and shows elevated technical foul rates (above 0.14 per 48 minutes) over their last 10 games. Targets teams with stagnant ball movement and recent disciplinary issues.
Part of all NBA Over/Under system records.
TOTAL PICKS
1109
HIT RATE
58.19%
RECORD
341-245
ROI
+11.09%
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, '26 | Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics | over | L | -0.09 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Orlando Magic @ Chicago Bulls | over | L | -0.18 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 8, '26 | Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic | over | W | -0.41 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 6, '26 | Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic | over | W | +0.05 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 5, '26 | Orlando Magic @ New Orleans Pelicans | over | L | +0.09 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 4, '26 | Orlando Magic @ Dallas Mavericks | over | W | +4.00 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 1, '26 | Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic | over | L | -0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Mar 31, '26 | Phoenix Suns @ Orlando Magic | over | W | -0.41 | +$0.91 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$127.30 across 8 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Off Assists
Book Avg Over Odds
Pavg 10 P Avg48technicalfouls Max
Picks by Month
Related NBA Over/Under Systems
Team Over with Low Fouls High Variance
91-34 record · 72.8% hit rate
Disciplined Teams Over
102-42 record · 70.8% hit rate
Over vs Familiar Home Favorites
97-44 record · 68.8% hit rate
Team Unders vs Stingy Defenses
55-25 record · 68.8% hit rate
Over vs Familiar Chippy Teams
91-43 record · 67.9% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Team Totals Over with Foul Trouble" NBA Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 341-245 (58.19% hit rate) with 11.09% ROI across 586 graded picks. Closing line value averages -0.98, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Team Totals Over with Foul Trouble system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NBA over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Team Totals Over with Foul Trouble system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1109 total qualifying games, with 586 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
341
586
245
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES