Disciplined Teams Over
Backs the over for teams that have committed 19.1 fouls or fewer per game over their last 5 contests, are playing before game 104 of the season, and have exhibited high statistical variance throughout the year.
Part of all NBA Over/Under system records.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
102
144
42
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related NBA Over/Under Systems
Team Over with Low Fouls High Variance
91-34 record · 72.8% hit rate
Over vs Familiar Home Favorites
97-44 record · 68.8% hit rate
Team Unders vs Stingy Defenses
55-25 record · 68.8% hit rate
Over vs Familiar Chippy Teams
91-43 record · 67.9% hit rate
Over in Rivalry Matchups
133-74 record · 64.3% hit rate
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Gen Fouls
Game Number In Season
Season Variance Ix
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Disciplined Teams Over" NBA Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 102-42 (70.83% hit rate) with 35.23% ROI across 144 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.58, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Disciplined Teams Over system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NBA over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Disciplined Teams Over system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 410 total qualifying games, with 144 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
TOTAL PICKS
410
HIT RATE
70.83%
RECORD
102-42
ROI
+35.23%