Teams with Workload Starters
Backs teams whose pitchers have averaged above 2.887 ERA over their last 5 games, worked deep into games (averaging over 89.1 pitches as a starter), and shown consistent home run prevention with standard deviation of 0.6749 or lower over their last 10 games.
Part of all MLB ATS system records.
TOTAL PICKS
500
HIT RATE
58.04%
RECORD
130-94
ROI
+10.80%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Pitch Era
Avg 5 Pitch Pitchesasstarter
Std 10 Pitch Homeruns
Related MLB ATS Systems
Underdogs in Mid-Total H2H Games
98-28 record · 77.8% hit rate
Dogs with Recent Fielding Errors
215-78 record · 73.4% hit rate
Dogs with Shaky Defense
215-78 record · 73.4% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile HR Offense
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile Power
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Teams with Workload Starters" MLB ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 130-94 (58.04% hit rate) with 10.80% ROI across 224 graded picks. Closing line value averages -0.01, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Teams with Workload Starters system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Teams with Workload Starters system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 500 total qualifying games, with 224 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
130
224
94
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES