Dogs with Shaky Defense
Backs underdogs on the spread with fielding percentages at or below .9775 over their last 10 games and moneyline odds of +115.5 or lower, targeting teams with below-average recent defensive performance but relatively favorable underdog pricing.
Part of all MLB ATS system records.
TOTAL PICKS
589
HIT RATE
73.38%
RECORD
215-78
ROI
+40.09%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Field Fieldingpct
Moneyline Price
Team moneyline is shorter than +115.5.
Team Spread
Related MLB ATS Systems
Underdogs in Mid-Total H2H Games
98-28 record · 77.8% hit rate
Dogs with Recent Fielding Errors
215-78 record · 73.4% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile HR Offense
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile Power
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile Power
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Dogs with Shaky Defense" MLB ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 215-78 (73.38% hit rate) with 40.09% ROI across 293 graded picks. Closing line value averages -0.33, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Dogs with Shaky Defense system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Dogs with Shaky Defense system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 589 total qualifying games, with 293 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
215
293
78
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES