Low OBP Teams with Tired Staffs
Backs teams whose batters reached base at a rate of 30.2% or lower over their last 10 games, whose pitchers threw more than 136 pitches per game over their last 5 games, and whose run production varied with a standard deviation greater than 2.68 runs over their last 10 games.
Part of all MLB ATS system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Bat Onbasepct
Avg 5 Pitch Pitches
Std 10 Bat Runscreated
TOTAL PICKS
7251
HIT RATE
52.32%
RECORD
1296-1181
ROI
-0.11%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
1296
2477
1181
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related MLB ATS Systems
Underdogs in Mid-Total H2H Games
98-28 record · 77.8% hit rate
Dogs with Recent Fielding Errors
215-78 record · 73.4% hit rate
Dogs with Shaky Defense
215-78 record · 73.4% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile HR Offense
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile Power
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Low OBP Teams with Tired Staffs" MLB ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 1296-1181 (52.32% hit rate) with -0.11% ROI across 2477 graded picks. Closing line value averages -0.01, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Low OBP Teams with Tired Staffs system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Low OBP Teams with Tired Staffs system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 7251 total qualifying games, with 2477 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.