Trendline Labs

Fly Ball Teams with Limited Defense

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Backs teams that have averaged more than 16.15 fly balls hit per game over their last 10 games, averaged 35.45 or fewer total fielding chances per game over their last 10 games, and whose pitchers have inherited more than 1.1 runners per game over their last 5 games.

Part of all MLB ATS system records.

Fly Ball Teams with Limited Defense is a verified MLB spread betting system that backs teams that have averaged more than 16.15 fly balls hit per game over their last 10 games, averaged 35.45 or fewer total fielding chances per game over their last 10 games, and whose pitchers have inherited more than 1.1 runners per game over their last 5 games. Tracked across 441 graded picks, it holds a 245-196 record with a 55.56% hit rate and 6.06% ROI. All results graded from verified game outcomes.

When This System Fires

The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.

1

Avg 10 Bat Flyballs

above 16.15avg_10_bat_flyballs
2

Avg 10 Field Totalchances

at most 35.45avg_10_field_totalchances
3

Avg 5 Pitch Inheritedrunners

above 1.10avg_5_pitch_inheritedrunners

TOTAL PICKS

806

HIT RATE

55.56%

RECORD

245-196

ROI

+6.06%

PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN

245

441

196

WINS

TOTAL BETS

LOSSES

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Frequently Asked Questions

Does the "Fly Ball Teams with Limited Defense" MLB ATS system still work?

The system's live record is 245-196 (55.56% hit rate) with 6.06% ROI across 441 graded picks. Closing line value averages -0.01, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.

When does the Fly Ball Teams with Limited Defense system fire a pick?

The system triggers a MLB ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.

What is the sample size for the Fly Ball Teams with Limited Defense system?

The system has been evaluated against 806 total qualifying games, with 441 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.

Analysis generated by Optimus AI from proprietary ML system data.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Optimus

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Fly Ball Teams with Limited Defense: 245-196 Record