Favorites with Weak Plate Discipline
Backs heavily favored teams (>70% implied win probability) that have shown poor plate discipline over their last 10 games, striking out frequently while drawing few walks at the plate and issuing more walks relative to strikeouts on the mound.
Part of all MLB ATS system records.
TOTAL PICKS
533
HIT RATE
63.22%
RECORD
153-89
ROI
+20.70%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Bat Walktostrikeoutratio
Avg 10 Pitch Strikeouttowalkratio
Implied Win Probability
Market implies the team wins more than 70% of the time.
Related MLB ATS Systems
Underdogs in Mid-Total H2H Games
98-28 record · 77.8% hit rate
Dogs with Recent Fielding Errors
215-78 record · 73.4% hit rate
Dogs with Shaky Defense
215-78 record · 73.4% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile HR Offense
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Underdogs with Volatile Power
218-82 record · 72.7% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Favorites with Weak Plate Discipline" MLB ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 153-89 (63.22% hit rate) with 20.70% ROI across 242 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.00, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Favorites with Weak Plate Discipline system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Favorites with Weak Plate Discipline system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 533 total qualifying games, with 242 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
153
242
89
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES