Competitive Underdogs vs Vulnerable Defenses

How This System Works

This system applies to NHL moneyline bets on underdogs where the team's average shot differential over their last 10 games is -1.55 or worse, the opponent's average goals against over their last 5 games has a mean value of 0.2287 or less, and the team's average blocked shots over their last 5 games has a mean value of 0.6529 or less. These conditions identify games where an underdog has been substantially outshot recently, facing an opponent that has allowed relatively few goals over their last 5 games, while the underdog itself has recorded relatively few blocked shots over their last 5 games.

Backs underdogs with relatively even shot differential against opponents allowing goals at a low rate but showing defensive blocking inconsistency over their last 5 games.