Late Season Shaky Kicking is a verified NFL over_under betting system that targets games after week 13 where the kicking unit has struggled on extra points (below 93.8% conversion rate) and is trending downward in performance. Tracked across 836 graded picks, it holds a 194-148 record with a 56.73% hit rate and 8.29% ROI. Average closing line value: 0.5816 units. All results graded from verified game outcomes.
NFL·over_under
Late Season Shaky Kicking
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Record
8.29%%
ROI
0.5673%
Hit Rate
836
Picks
How This System Works
This system identifies games where a team's average extra point conversion percentage over their last 3 games is 93.8333% or lower, that percentage is trending downward, and the game occurs after week 13.5 of the NFL season. These conditions together identify late-season games involving teams whose kickers have recently missed extra points at an above-average rate and whose extra point accuracy has been declining.
Targets games after week 13 where the kicking unit has struggled on extra points (below 93.8% conversion rate) and is trending downward in performance.