Late Season Low-Fumble Teams vs Elite Defenses

How This System Works

This system identifies NFL games where the team has averaged 1.8333 or fewer fumbles over their last 3 games, their opponent has allowed an average of 19.3 points or fewer over their last 5 games, and the game occurs after week 13.5 of the season. These conditions together isolate late-season matchups featuring a team that has protected the ball well in recent games facing an opponent whose defense has been allowing fewer than 19.3 points per game over their last 5 contests.

Targets games after week 13 where the team averages fewer than 1.83 fumbles over their last 3 games and faces an opponent allowing 19.3 points or fewer over their last 5 games.