Fresh Teams Against Weak Competition with Limited Kicking
Targets teams that average zero field goals made from 20-29 yards, facing opponents with below-average Elo ratings (≤1471.59) and favorable rest situations (≤1.57 rest index).
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
1534
HIT RATE
60.42%
RECORD
461-302
ROI
+15.35%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
461
763
302
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Kick Fieldgoalsmade20 29
Opp Elo
Prob Rest Ix
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Fresh Teams Against Weak Competition with Limited Kicking" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 461-302 (60.42% hit rate) with 15.35% ROI across 763 graded picks. Closing line value averages 13.85, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Fresh Teams Against Weak Competition with Limited Kicking system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Fresh Teams Against Weak Competition with Limited Kicking system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1534 total qualifying games, with 763 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.