Strong Kickers, Low Third Down Volume, Weak Opponents

How This System Works

This system identifies NFL moneyline bets where the team averages more than 52.1667 yards on field goals made over their last 3 games, averages 11.8333 or fewer third down attempts over their last 3 games, and their opponent averaged 28.9 points or fewer over their last 5 games. These conditions together identify games where the team has been successful on longer field goals recently, has faced fewer third down situations, and is facing an opponent that has scored at a lower rate in recent games.

Targets teams with kickers averaging over 52 yards on made field goals in their last 3 games, facing opponents averaging 28.9 points or fewer over their last 5 games, while the team itself attempts 11.8 or fewer third downs per game in their last 3 contests.