Late Season Games with Declining Kicker Accuracy is a verified NFL over_under betting system that targets games after week 13 where the average extra point conversion rate is 93.8% or lower and trending downward, indicating potential scoring volatility from special teams inconsistency. Tracked across 821 graded picks, it holds a 193-146 record with a 56.93% hit rate and 8.69% ROI. Average closing line value: 0.5976 units. All results graded from verified game outcomes.
NFL·over_under
Late Season Games with Declining Kicker Accuracy
How This System Works
This system targets games where the team's average extra point conversion percentage over their last 3 games is 93.8333% or lower, this percentage is trending downward, and the game occurs after more than 13.5 games into the season. These conditions together identify late-season games involving a team whose kicker has recently struggled with extra points and is experiencing declining accuracy in that area.
Targets games after week 13 where the average extra point conversion rate is 93.8% or lower and trending downward, indicating potential scoring volatility from special teams inconsistency.
| Record | - |
| Hit Rate | 0.5693% |
| ROI | 8.69%% |
| Avg CLV | 0.5976 units |
| Sample Size | 821 picks |