Trendline Labs

vs Porous Defenses

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Backs teams with constrained recent defensive metrics in steals, blocks, and defensive rebounds facing opponents who have allowed more than 117 points per game over their last 5 games, identifying matchups against defensively vulnerable opposition.

Part of all NBA Moneyline system records.

TOTAL PICKS

146

HIT RATE

71.23%

RECORD

52-21

ROI

+35.99%

vs Porous Defenses is a verified NBA moneyline betting system that backs teams with constrained recent defensive metrics in steals, blocks, and defensive rebounds facing opponents who have allowed more than 117 points per game over their last 5 games, identifying matchups against defensively vulnerable opposition. Tracked across 73 graded picks, it holds a 52-21 record with a 71.23% hit rate and 35.99% ROI. Average closing line value: 18.9 units. All results graded from verified game outcomes.

When This System Fires

The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.

1

Opp Avg 5 Pts Allowed

above 117.27opp_avg_5_pts_allowed
2

Pavg 10 P Avg48steals Max

at most 4.97pavg_10_p_avg48steals_max
3

Pavg 5 P Avg48blocks Mean

at most 0.90pavg_5_p_avg48blocks_mean
4

Pavg 5 P Avg48defensiverebounds Max

at most 12.28pavg_5_p_avg48defensiverebounds_max

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Frequently Asked Questions

Does the "vs Porous Defenses" NBA Moneyline system still work?

The system's live record is 52-21 (71.23% hit rate) with 35.99% ROI across 73 graded picks. Closing line value averages 18.90, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.

When does the vs Porous Defenses system fire a pick?

The system triggers a NBA moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.

What is the sample size for the vs Porous Defenses system?

The system has been evaluated against 146 total qualifying games, with 73 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.

PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN

52

73

21

WINS

TOTAL BETS

LOSSES

Analysis generated by Optimus AI from proprietary ML system data.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Optimus

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