Poor FT Shooters vs Cold Offenses
Backs teams shooting 76.73% or below from the free throw line over their last 5 games when facing opponents who have scored 104.45 points or fewer per game in their last 5 games, allowed 120.675 points or fewer per game in their last 5 games, and where the betting team has shown at least one game with elevated steal production (max average exceeding 2.75) in their recent 10-game sample.
Part of all NBA Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
130
HIT RATE
76.06%
RECORD
54-17
ROI
+45.20%
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, '26 | Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers | home | W | — | +$0.09 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers | home | W | — | +$1.14 |
| Apr 10, '26 | Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors | away | W | +0.42 | +$1.00 |
| Apr 8, '26 | Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 5, '26 | Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks | away | L | -0.01 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 3, '26 | Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder | away | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 1, '26 | Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Lakers | home | W | +0.01 | +$0.78 |
| Mar 31, '26 | Washington Wizards @ Los Angeles Lakers | home | W | — | +$0.07 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: +$0.60 across 8 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Off Freethrowpct
Opp Avg 5 Pts
Opp Avg 5 Pts Allowed
Pavg 10 P Avgsteals Max
Picks by Month
Related NBA Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites vs Cold Offenses
75-2 record · 97.4% hit rate
Elite Favorites in Competitive Matchups
72-3 record · 96.0% hit rate
Elite Favorites with Tight Turnover Control
56-4 record · 93.3% hit rate
Elite Teams vs Weak Opponents
120-9 record · 93.0% hit rate
Elite Favorites with Rim Protection
61-6 record · 91.0% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Poor FT Shooters vs Cold Offenses" NBA Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 54-17 (76.06% hit rate) with 45.20% ROI across 71 graded picks. Closing line value averages -1.13, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Poor FT Shooters vs Cold Offenses system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NBA moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Poor FT Shooters vs Cold Offenses system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 130 total qualifying games, with 71 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
54
71
17
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES