Low Rim Protection vs High-Scoring Paint Offenses

How This System Works

This moneyline bet applies when the team has averaged 23.05 or fewer defensive blocks over their last 10 games, has averaged more than 42.25 points in the paint over their last 10 games, has averaged 37.3 or fewer points in the paint over their last 5 games, and their opponent has averaged more than 107.45 points over their last 5 games. These conditions together identify a situation where the team has limited shot-blocking recently, showed higher paint scoring over a longer window than their recent 5-game average, and faces an opponent that has been scoring at a high rate.

Targets teams averaging over 42 points in the paint over their last 10 games but cooling recently, facing opponents with weak rim protection (under 23 blocks per 10 games) who are scoring heavily overall.