Good Teams After Weighted Losses
Backs teams with winning records that are scoring at a high rate recently (over 116 points per game in their last 5 games) but have been losing by a weighted average margin, while maintaining close outcomes over their last 10 games.
Part of all NBA Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
216
HIT RATE
69.23%
RECORD
81-36
ROI
+32.17%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Margin
Avg 5 Pts
Ewma Margin
Season Win Pct
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Good Teams After Weighted Losses" NBA Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 81-36 (69.23% hit rate) with 32.17% ROI across 117 graded picks. Closing line value averages 10.79, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Good Teams After Weighted Losses system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NBA moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Good Teams After Weighted Losses system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 216 total qualifying games, with 117 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
81
117
36
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES