Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses
Backs teams that average more than 17.25 free throws made over their last 10 games when facing opponents who score 104.45 points or fewer but allow more than 120.675 points per game over their last 5 games.
Part of all NBA Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
133
HIT RATE
93.94%
RECORD
62-4
ROI
+79.34%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
62
66
4
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, '26 | Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | +0.01 | +$0.71 |
| May 23, '26 | Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs | home | L | +0.01 | -$1.00 |
| May 21, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder | away | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 19, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder | away | W | +0.01 | +$2.15 |
| May 16, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.44 |
| May 13, '26 | Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.23 |
| May 10, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves | away | L | +0.02 | -$1.00 |
| May 9, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves | away | W | +0.01 | +$0.48 |
| May 7, '26 | Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.23 |
| May 5, '26 | Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 29, '26 | Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.17 |
| Apr 26, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers | away | W | — | +$0.45 |
| Apr 25, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers | away | W | — | +$0.82 |
| Apr 22, '26 | Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 20, '26 | Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | +0.01 | +$0.15 |
| Apr 16, '26 | Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 13, '26 | Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs | home | L | +0.01 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 13, '26 | Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers | home | W | +0.01 | +$0.62 |
| Apr 11, '26 | LA Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers | away | L | +0.04 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.05 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$195.10 across 31 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Off Freethrowsmade
Opp Avg 5 Pts
Opp Avg 5 Pts Allowed
Picks by Month
Related NBA Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites vs Cold Offenses
75-2 record · 97.4% hit rate
Elite Favorites in Competitive Matchups
72-3 record · 96.0% hit rate
Elite Favorites with Tight Turnover Control
56-4 record · 93.3% hit rate
Elite Teams vs Weak Opponents
120-9 record · 93.0% hit rate
Elite Favorites with Rim Protection
61-6 record · 91.0% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses" NBA Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 62-4 (93.94% hit rate) with 79.34% ROI across 66 graded picks. Closing line value averages 47.53, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NBA moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 133 total qualifying games, with 66 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.