Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses
Backs teams that average more than 17.25 free throws made over their last 10 games when facing opponents who score 104.45 points or fewer but allow more than 120.675 points per game over their last 5 games.
Part of all NBA Moneyline system records.
TOTAL PICKS
133
HIT RATE
93.94%
RECORD
62-4
ROI
+79.34%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
62
66
4
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, '26 | Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs | home | L | +0.01 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 13, '26 | Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers | home | W | +0.01 | +$0.62 |
| Apr 11, '26 | LA Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers | away | L | +0.04 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.05 |
| Apr 9, '26 | Oklahoma City Thunder @ LA Clippers | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 9, '26 | Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.65 |
| Apr 8, '26 | Dallas Mavericks @ LA Clippers | home | W | — | +$0.15 |
| Apr 7, '26 | Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.27 |
| Apr 6, '26 | LA Clippers @ Sacramento Kings | away | W | — | +$0.12 |
| Apr 4, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets | away | L | -0.02 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 3, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ LA Clippers | away | W | — | +$1.20 |
| Apr 3, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ LA Clippers | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 2, '26 | San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State Warriors | away | W | — | +$0.09 |
| Mar 31, '26 | Chicago Bulls @ San Antonio Spurs | home | W | — | +$0.05 |
| Apr 1, '26 | Portland Trail Blazers @ LA Clippers | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$179.60 across 15 picks.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Off Freethrowsmade
Opp Avg 5 Pts
Opp Avg 5 Pts Allowed
Picks by Month
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses" NBA Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 62-4 (93.94% hit rate) with 79.34% ROI across 66 graded picks. Closing line value averages 47.53, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NBA moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 133 total qualifying games, with 66 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.