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Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Backs teams that average more than 17.25 free throws made over their last 10 games when facing opponents who score 104.45 points or fewer but allow more than 120.675 points per game over their last 5 games.

Part of all NBA Moneyline system records.

Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses is a verified NBA moneyline betting system that backs teams that average more than 17.25 free throws made over their last 10 games when facing opponents who score 104.45 points or fewer but allow more than 120.675 points per game over their last 5 games. Tracked across 66 graded picks, it holds a 62-4 record with a 93.94% hit rate and 79.34% ROI. Average closing line value: 47.5312 units. All results graded from verified game outcomes.

TOTAL PICKS

133

HIT RATE

93.94%

RECORD

62-4

ROI

+79.34%

PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN

62

66

4

WINS

TOTAL BETS

LOSSES

Recent Picks

All 15 graded picks
DateGameSideResultCLVProfit
Apr 13, '26Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio SpurshomeL+0.01-$1.00
Apr 13, '26Golden State Warriors @ LA ClippershomeW+0.01+$0.62
Apr 11, '26LA Clippers @ Portland Trail BlazersawayL+0.04-$1.00
Apr 11, '26Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio SpurshomeW+$0.05
Apr 9, '26Oklahoma City Thunder @ LA ClippershomeL-$1.00
Apr 9, '26Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio SpurshomeW+$0.65
Apr 8, '26Dallas Mavericks @ LA ClippershomeW+$0.15
Apr 7, '26Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio SpurshomeW+$0.27
Apr 6, '26LA Clippers @ Sacramento KingsawayW+$0.12
Apr 4, '26San Antonio Spurs @ Denver NuggetsawayL-0.02-$1.00
Apr 3, '26San Antonio Spurs @ LA ClippersawayW+$1.20
Apr 3, '26San Antonio Spurs @ LA ClippershomeL-$1.00
Apr 2, '26San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State WarriorsawayW+$0.09
Mar 31, '26Chicago Bulls @ San Antonio SpurshomeW+$0.05
Apr 1, '26Portland Trail Blazers @ LA ClippershomeL-$1.00

Profit Curve

15 graded picks · peak $-46 · trough $-280

$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$179.60 across 15 picks.

When This System Fires

The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.

1

Avg 10 Off Freethrowsmade

above 17.25avg_10_off_freethrowsmade
2

Opp Avg 5 Pts

at most 104.45opp_avg_5_pts
3

Opp Avg 5 Pts Allowed

above 120.67opp_avg_5_pts_allowed

Picks by Month

1 of 1 months profitable

Related NBA Moneyline Systems

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the "Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses" NBA Moneyline system still work?

The system's live record is 62-4 (93.94% hit rate) with 79.34% ROI across 66 graded picks. Closing line value averages 47.53, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.

When does the Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses system fire a pick?

The system triggers a NBA moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.

What is the sample size for the Free Throw Teams vs Leaky Defenses system?

The system has been evaluated against 133 total qualifying games, with 66 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.

Analysis generated by Optimus AI from proprietary ML system data.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Optimus

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