Disciplined Favorites with Volatile Fast Break Defense

How This System Works

This condition applies to moneyline bets where the team has averaged more than 0.955 technical fouls per 48 minutes in their last 10 games, shows a standard deviation above 4.2071 in fastbreak points allowed over their last 5 games, and is priced as a moneyline favorite between -136.5 and -272.5. These conditions identify a moderate moneyline favorite that has committed technical fouls at a relatively high rate recently and has been highly variable in how many fastbreak points they allow on defense over their last five games.

Targets moderate favorites with consistently low technical fouls and opponents showing high variance in fast break points allowed. Filters for teams in the -136.5 to -272.5 moneyline range.