Veteran Starters with Controlled Home Run Variance

How This System Works

This betting system applies to MLB spread bets where the pitcher has averaged more than 2.9 earned runs over their last 5 games, averaged more than 89.1 pitches as a starter over their last 5 games, and shown a standard deviation of 0.6749 or lower in home runs allowed over their last 10 games. These conditions identify games where a pitcher has been allowing earned runs at an elevated rate with a high pitch count while displaying consistent home run prevention performance.

Targets pitchers averaging over 2.9 earned runs and 89.1 pitches as a starter over their last 5 games, while maintaining low home run variance (≤0.6749 standard deviation) over their last 10 games.