Strong Outfield Defense with Pitching Volatility
How This System Works
This betting system triggers on MLB spread bets when the team has averaged more than 0.0 outfield assists over their last 5 games, the standard deviation of projected home runs across their last 10 games is 109.3417 or lower, and the standard deviation of inherited runners scored by their pitchers over the last 10 games exceeds 1.0593. These conditions together identify games where the team's outfielders have recorded at least some assists recently, their projected home run output has been relatively consistent, and their relief pitchers have shown variable performance in allowing inherited runners to score.
Targets teams with above-average outfield assists, facing opponents with low power consistency and bullpens that show high variance in inherited runner management.
| Record | - |
| Hit Rate | 0.5879% |
| ROI | 12.23%% |
| Avg CLV | -0.0584 units |
| Sample Size | 426 picks |