Over Standard Rest Low Home Win%
Backs overs for teams with wide away spread odds, narrow home moneyline variance, home win percentage at or below 51.47%, and playing on standard rest (under 4 days).
Part of all MLB Over/Under system records.
TOTAL PICKS
216
HIT RATE
73.47%
RECORD
72-26
ROI
+40.26%
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Book Avg Away Spread Odds
Book Ml Home Range
Referee Home Win %
Crew has a historical home-team win rate below 51%.
Rest Days
Team has had at most 3.9809 days of rest.
Related MLB Over/Under Systems
Overs with Rest and High Totals
158-33 record · 82.7% hit rate
Team Overs After Rest
158-35 record · 81.9% hit rate
Road Favorites Over High Totals
122-34 record · 78.2% hit rate
Over in High-Total Home Favorites
122-36 record · 77.2% hit rate
Over in High-Scoring Stable Games
101-32 record · 75.9% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Over Standard Rest Low Home Win%" MLB Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 72-26 (73.47% hit rate) with 40.26% ROI across 98 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.15, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Over Standard Rest Low Home Win% system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB over/under pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Over Standard Rest Low Home Win% system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 216 total qualifying games, with 98 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
72
98
26
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES