Trendline Labs

Over in Road Dog Mid-Total Games

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Targets overs in games where the team is a significant road underdog (average away spread odds exceeding +145) and the projected total falls in a moderate 7.5 to 9 run range.

Part of all MLB Over/Under system records.

Over in Road Dog Mid-Total Games is a verified MLB over/under betting system that targets overs in games where the team is a significant road underdog (average away spread odds exceeding +145) and the projected total falls in a moderate 7.5 to 9 run range. Tracked across 108 graded picks, it holds a 70-38 record with a 64.81% hit rate and 23.74% ROI. Average closing line value: 0.114 units. All results graded from verified game outcomes.

PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN

70

108

38

WINS

TOTAL BETS

LOSSES

Related MLB Over/Under Systems

When This System Fires

The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.

1

Book Avg Away Spread Odds

above 145.76book_avg_away_spread_odds
2

Ref Avg Total

at most 8.93ref_avg_total
3

Ref Avg Total

above 7.45ref_avg_total

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the "Over in Road Dog Mid-Total Games" MLB Over/Under system still work?

The system's live record is 70-38 (64.81% hit rate) with 23.74% ROI across 108 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.11, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.

When does the Over in Road Dog Mid-Total Games system fire a pick?

The system triggers a MLB over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.

What is the sample size for the Over in Road Dog Mid-Total Games system?

The system has been evaluated against 250 total qualifying games, with 108 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.

TOTAL PICKS

250

HIT RATE

64.81%

RECORD

70-38

ROI

+23.74%

Analysis generated by Optimus AI from proprietary ML system data.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Optimus

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