Over in Low OBP Games
Targets overs when the team has struggled to reach base recently (OBP ≤ .258 over last 10 games) with low variance in run creation, but the reference average total suggests a high-scoring game environment (9.57+).
Part of all MLB Over/Under system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 10 Bat Onbasepct
Ref Avg Total
Std 10 Bat Runscreatedper27outs
TOTAL PICKS
402
HIT RATE
66.67%
RECORD
96-48
ROI
+27.27%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
96
144
48
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related MLB Over/Under Systems
Overs with Rest and High Totals
158-33 record · 82.7% hit rate
Team Overs After Rest
158-35 record · 81.9% hit rate
Road Favorites Over High Totals
122-34 record · 78.2% hit rate
Over in High-Total Home Favorites
122-36 record · 77.2% hit rate
Over in High-Scoring Stable Games
101-32 record · 75.9% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Over in Low OBP Games" MLB Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 96-48 (66.67% hit rate) with 27.27% ROI across 144 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.04, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Over in Low OBP Games system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Over in Low OBP Games system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 402 total qualifying games, with 144 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.