Ground-Ball Teams with Poor Plate Discipline is a verified MLB spread betting system that targets teams with low ground-to-fly ratios, weak on-base percentages over their last 10 games, and elevated fly ball rates in their most recent 5 games. Tracked across 1,217 graded picks, it holds a 327-258 record with a 55.9% hit rate and 6.71% ROI. All results graded from verified game outcomes.
MLB·spread
Ground-Ball Teams with Poor Plate Discipline
How This System Works
The conditions check whether the team's batters have averaged a ground ball to fly ball ratio of 0.895 or lower over their last 10 games, an on-base percentage of 0.2766 or lower over their last 10 games, and more than 14.1 fly balls per game over their last 5 games. These metrics together identify a game situation where the team's batters have been hitting more fly balls relative to ground balls while recording a low on-base percentage in recent games.
Targets teams with low ground-to-fly ratios, weak on-base percentages over their last 10 games, and elevated fly ball rates in their most recent 5 games.
| Record | - |
| Hit Rate | 0.559% |
| ROI | 6.71%% |
| Avg CLV | -0.0376 units |
| Sample Size | 1217 picks |