Trendline Labs

Away Dogs with Stable Defense

Last updated: April 14, 2026

Backs away underdogs in lower-scoring games (total ≤8.925) that have been consistently turning double plays and show stable home run projection variance, priced above +145 on the spread market.

Part of all MLB Over/Under system records.

TOTAL PICKS

230

HIT RATE

63.27%

RECORD

62-36

ROI

+20.78%

Away Dogs with Stable Defense is a verified MLB over/under betting system that backs away underdogs in lower-scoring games (total ≤8.925) that have been consistently turning double plays and show stable home run projection variance, priced above +145 on the spread market. Tracked across 98 graded picks, it holds a 62-36 record with a 63.27% hit rate and 20.78% ROI. Average closing line value: 0.1408 units. All results graded from verified game outcomes.

When This System Fires

The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.

1

Avg 10 Field Doubleplays

above 0.55avg_10_field_doubleplays
2

Book Avg Away Spread Odds

above 145.76book_avg_away_spread_odds
3

Ref Avg Total

at most 8.93ref_avg_total
4

Std 10 Bat Projectedhomeruns

at most 253.86std_10_bat_projectedhomeruns

Related MLB Over/Under Systems

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the "Away Dogs with Stable Defense" MLB Over/Under system still work?

The system's live record is 62-36 (63.27% hit rate) with 20.78% ROI across 98 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.14, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.

When does the Away Dogs with Stable Defense system fire a pick?

The system triggers a MLB over/under pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.

What is the sample size for the Away Dogs with Stable Defense system?

The system has been evaluated against 230 total qualifying games, with 98 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.

PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN

62

98

36

WINS

TOTAL BETS

LOSSES

Analysis generated by Optimus AI from proprietary ML system data.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Optimus

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